The X Factor – Defying The Betting Odds

It was no surprise to X Factor betters last year when Louisa Johnson won the show. The singer was tipped to win the X Factor betting markets from the beginning. There wasn’t really much competition, with the 2nd favourite getting knocked out after only the 2nd week. But, has it always been that way? Has the favourite one EVERY year?

FAVOURITE: Louisa Johnson WINNER: Louisa Johnson

Series 11 – 2014

The year before Louisa we saw Ben Haenow (Haaaaaeeenow) beat Fleur East to become the 11th X Factor winner. Ahead of the final Ben was given very short odds of only 8/13 and Fleur was closely behind with respectable 7/4. Although Ben went on to take the title, the competition was very close, with Fleur’s rendition of Uptown Funk making it to number 1 in the Itunes Chart. However, at the start of the live shows, Andrea Faustini was actually pegged to be the winner with odds of 2/1 while Ben and Fleur were 6/1 and 33/1 respectively.
FAVOURITE: Andrea Faustini WINNER: Ben Haenow

Series 10 – 2013

In 2013 we were all astounded by the talented voice of Sam Bailey, who soon became favourite to win The X Factor. In fact, she broke records after an £11,000 bet was placed at a bookies in Folkestone, the largest bet ever placed on a reality tv show. But, she wasn’t always favourite to win. At the beginning of the live shows, the odds were in favour of Abi Alton and Melanie McCabe, if you can even remember who they are….
FAVOURITE: Abi Alton & Melanie McCabe WINNER: Sam Bailey

Series 9 – 2012

Series 9 saw a disastrous X Factor series with ratings falling. The final had the lowest ratings for 7 years and was beaten by BBC’s Strictly come dancing for the first time. But all that didn’t stop James Arthur from taking the title as the 9th X Factor winner. Heading into the live shows James’ odds were at 8/1 putting him in 3rd place behind the favourite Ella Henderson and the runner-up Jahmene Douglas. After Ella lost out to James in the sing off and was sent home, James stole the favourites crown and went on to win the show.
FAVOURITE: Ella Henderson WINNER: James Arthur

Series 8 – 2011

2011 saw the first and at present the ONLY band to ever win The X Factor. Little Mix stole the hearts of viewers and became favourites to win after their live show performances. However, going into the live shows, it was actually Janet Devlin who was favourite to win. The 16-year-old forgot her words and was subsequently voted off the next day after a sing-off with Misha B.
FAVOURITE: Janet Devlin WINNER: Little Mix

Series 7 – 2010

Series 7 Winner Matt Cardle had been favourite to win the show from the start of the live shows, even with strong competition from the now more successful One Direction. This series also introduced us to Rebecca Ferguson, Cher Lloyd and Katie Waissel who are all still in the public eye (not necessarily for their singing abilities).
FAVOURITE: Matt Cardle WINNER: Matt Cardle

Series 6 – 2009

2009 was another year the favourite won. Joe Mcelderry went on to take the title, leaving  Olly Murrs as runner up. Although Olly is waaaay more successful now, the odds were always against him in favour of Joe.
FAVOURITE: Joe Mcelderry WINNER: Joe Mcelderry

Series 5 – 2008

Do you remember a band called JLS? Well they didn’t win, they weren’t even favourites yet they did better than the rest of season 5. With acts like Ruth Lorenzo and the favourite to win Diana Vickers, Season 5 was a great year for talent, none more so than that of Alexandra Burke, the winner of season 5.
FAVOURITE: Diana Vickers WINNER: Alexandra Burke

Series 4 – 2007

After an Injustice which almost started a war between England, Scotland and Wales, the Welsh favourite of series 6 Rhydian Roberts lost out to Scottish Leon Jackson, with the English group Same Difference coming in third. Controversy surrounded the final with many voters claiming the phone lines weren’t working when trying to vote for Rhydian.
FAVOURITE: Rhydian Roberts WINNER: Leon Jackson

Series 3 – 2006

2006 saw the favourites win again with Leona Lewis. With the most powerful voice in the competition and comparisons to Whitney and Mariah, it would have been a giant blow for her to of lost. Losing out to Leona was runner-up Ray Quinn, who is still on our screens in a selection of reality shows.
FAVOURITE: Leona Lewis WINNER: Leona Lewis

Series 2 – 2005

The second series of The X Factor was another on for the favourites with the top spot going to Shayne Ward. After being somewhat of a “flop” Shayne now appears regularly on Coronation Street. Other finalists from series 2 were Journey South and Andy Abraham (who?).
FAVOURITE: Shayne Ward WINNER: Shayne Ward

Series 1 – 2004

If you can remember all the way back to 2004, then you’ll remember Steve Brookstein winning the first X Factor, although the winner  got dropped from his label after only 8 months. This lead to the runners-up, G4 having more success. From the start of the live show it was neither Brookstein or G4 who were pegged to win, but in fact, Tabby Callaghan. The Irish singer made it to third place in the competition and then went on to have his own TV show to coincide with a single release. Like the winner, Tabby didn’t do so well after The X Factor and has disappeared from the limelight.
FAVOURITE: Tabby Callaghan WINNER: Steve Brookstein

Series 13 – TODAY

At the start of series 13 the two front runners Matt Terry and Caitlyn Vanbeck may seem like favourites now, but as previous season’s show, anything could happen. With less than 50% of the favourites going on to win the show.